Signal and the Noise - Nate Silver

The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent) n n Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting. n n In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who…

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